From the blog...

ANNUAL REAL ESTATE REPORT: OTTAWA 2020

Posted on: January 14th, 2020 by Chris Scott

OTTAWA REAL ESTATE REPORT

RECAP OF 2019

It was an incredible year of growth and price appreciation in the Ottawa real estate market. Prices were up in all categories. Year-end figures show the average freehold property sale price was $486,590 in 2019. This represents an 8.9% increase over the previous year. In the condo market prices soared over 9%! It would have been hard to predict these numbers before the start of the year.

These incredible gains are being fueled by the lack of supply and strong demand for Ottawa real estate. As the year went on the supply tightened and this put upward pressure on prices. The prices really started to push up in the 2nd half of the year. In some neighbourhoods in Nepean and Ottawa west, I have seen a price appreciation of 6% between sales in March and sales in September. This is because supply tightened as the year went on and in addition, more buyers entered the marketplace.

In 2019 Ottawa’s population grew to over 1 million people. Our city is maturing into a world-class capital before our very eyes! The new LRT line was unveiled and many new projects are on the way. Legacy projects like the civic hospital relocation, LRT expansion, and Lebreton flats redevelopment are on the horizon. This combined with the insatiable demand for Ottawa real estate should keep our construction market strong for the foreseeable future.

Average sales prices are for 2019 based on MLS sales.

Combined is for all property classes. Arrows are gains from 2018.

OTTAWA REAL ESTATE REPORT

FORECAST 2020

The Ottawa real estate market is showing no signs of weakness. Supply issues will persist in 2020. I don’t expect the inventory will recover in the near future. The absorption rate of our current inventory is like nothing we have seen before! Prices are expected to continue to grow over the upcoming few years. The demand for our real estate is at an all-time peak. This trend will continue to put upward pressure on prices throughout the next few years. Although prices are going up relative to our income we are actually still in a sustainable position. Prices in Ottawa, when compared with our earnings, are still affordable.

Below you can see a table of real estate prices in Ottawa since 1981. The only declining years are in red. The table illustrates just how stable our market is. The only declines were consecutive (94-96) and houses lost less than 3% in each of those years. If you were at a craps table and saw this much black on the board how much money would you be prepared to invest. If you are a long term investor it would be pretty hard to find a scenario where you could lose.

Based on OREB RES & CON MLS Sales | 2020 Prediction

OTTAWA REAL ESTATE REPORT

KEY INDICATORS

OTTAWA: RELATIVELY HIGHER EARNINGS

Ottawa’s solid public sector is a great foundational piece of our economy. This represents 20% of the workforce in Ottawa. These jobs are high earnings with very good security. When I think of my own network of friends, almost every couple has at least one person working for the government. In some cases, both spouses work there and this creates some very high household income. This past year saw a 6.9% increase in our weekly average income. We have not seen that kind of income growth in Ottawa since 2001. When we see our earnings higher than our neighbours down the 401, it surprises some people. Of course with the financial sector in Toronto, there is more wealth and one-percenters. Ottawa just does a better job with the distribution of wealth.

SUPPLY TRENDS LOWER FOR FREEHOLDS & CONDO

Supply is the single biggest issue in our market. It is so interesting to see where we are from an inventory perspective when compared to the last 15 years. We are at the lowest point in both the condo and the freehold segment of the market. Look at the condos available in 2015! Over 6000 on the market. This is the heartbeat of the market. When we see inventory this low, prices can only go in one direction! The little secret I have been telling people about Ottawa’s bargain real estate prices is out! Our market is on fuego.

STEADY EMPLOYMENT GROWTH EXPECTED

The local economy and job market in Ottawa are solid. Steady job growth is expected to continue over the next few years. It is good to see that full-time job growth is up 5%. This is important because people that occupy full-time jobs are much more likely to be approved financially to purchase real estate. Our capital city also is one of the hottest and most diverse tech hubs in North America. Overall the health of our local economy couldn’t be better.

If you are curious about your home’s worth please fill in this form for a no-obligation market assessment.

Home Evaluation

Tags: Average Ottawa Home Prices, bidding war, Buying in Ottawa, condos, home evaluation, Ottawa Home Prices, Ottawa Housing Market, Ottawa Market Stats, Ottawa MLS Sales, Ottawa Real Estate, Ottawa Realtor, Selling in Ottawa

    
 
 
        
   Anny Metivier 
 2024-08-13
 
 
  Over the years, with multiple military moves, we’ve had the opportunity to work with many real estate agents, and we can confidently say that not all are created equal. Chris, by far, has been the most trustworthy and easiest real estate agent we’ve had the pleasure to work with.
  
 
       
   Jake Moffat 
 2024-06-07
 
 
  Colin has been the best realtor to work with and helped us buy a great house in the perfect neighborhood. Colin and the rest of the team at Chris Scott were incredibly helpful the whole way and always available to answer questions, show us houses at a time that was convenient for us and were just generally professional and friendly during the whole process. We will recommend Colin and the team to our friends and family.
  
 
       
   Faith Woodley 
 2024-03-13
 
 
  I was a co-Executrix of an estate, and we had a condo that we had to sell for the estate.  In order to get the property ready for sale, we had to have the over 5,000 square foot condo painted and the carpets replaced.  Since the property was empty, Chris recommended a home stager that he uses on properties that require these services, and she did a fantastic job of staging the condo. It took the condo to the next level. The condo sold for a phenomenal price, and we were very happy with Chris Scott and his abilities.  He always gives over 100 percent to get the job done!  I recommend him to anyone that requires the services of a great real estate agent.
  
 
       
   Emily Bozanich 
 2023-10-07
 
 
  We worked with Rachel and she was beyond diligent. She is so organised and meticulous with details, it really helps when buying a home. She even agreed to do a virtual walk through for the home we ended up buying because we weren’t going to get there ourselves prior to offers being reviewed. She was also great with recommending areas to consider and avoid. Highly recommend.
  
 
       
   Cy Dixon 
 2023-10-06
 
 
  Rachel was amazing. She helped me find the perfect home for me and my son during a challenging time in my life. She was extremely patient and empathetic, professional and knowledgeable. I highly recommend her. No one will work harder for you than Rachel.
  
 
       
   Jeff C 
 2023-10-06
 
 
  Awesome realtor team very helpful and knowledgeable
  
 
       
   Nathalie Groupe Godin 
 2023-10-06
 
 
  Great service. Very knowledgeable. Super helpful. I’d use this team again.
  
 
       
   D Hynders 
 2023-10-05
 
 
  I recently used Chris' team to purchase a new house and I have to say that it was a pleasure to work with them.
  
 
       
   Megan Bixby 
 2023-10-05
 
 
  My husband and I purchased a house in the surrounding Ottawa area with the assistance of Colin from this group of individuals. We unfortunately were left with no choice but to purchase a home sight unseen due to our work circumstances. We originally considered not purchasing because of this.
We deliberated and chose to purchase a home after participating in FaceTime showings and we could not have been more satisfied. Colin was objective, professional, calm, informative, and realistic. He listened to our needs and helped us choose our home. The fact that we were pleasantly surprised, and a year later remain pleased as punch, says everything about how talented this company is. Will, without a doubt, use this company when we leave Ottawa.
  
 
       
   André Desjardins 
 2023-10-04
 
 
  We worked with Chris to find a home back in 2011 that would suit our desire to be close to work. He was nothing but professional and courteous! Listening to our needs and showing us what we were looking for. Years later, when we thought about down sizing and finding a renovated home, he took us around to see some in the neighborhood. He always open to helping us out in our searches

From the blog...

ANNUAL REAL ESTATE REPORT: OTTAWA 2020

RECAP OF 2019

FORECAST 2020

KEY INDICATORS

Home Evaluation

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